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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on April 5?

data as of 2026-04-01 11:32 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$5−$1.3K$1.3K
Holders15−1126
Trades268+168100
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate11.0%
−81.4 pp
92.3%
Avg ROI51.9%
+52.5 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.00
+4.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.29
+3.29×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$5
$7
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-76.7%
−76.7 pp
0.0%
Underwater %82.2%
+82.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %25.5%
+25.5 pp
0.0%
Bot %82.2%
+82.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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