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Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

data as of 2026-03-15 10:50 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.3K−$215K$217K
Holders314−234548
Trades8.9K+6.2K2.7K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.9%
−40.3 pp
83.3%
Avg ROI2.5%
−1.3 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.38
+1.41×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.43
+1.46×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$219
$223
Recent buyer dominance0.64
−0.27
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-58.8%
−62.0 pp
3.1%
Underwater %98.9%
+98.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.0%
−32.1 pp
58.1%
Bot %25.9%
−40.3 pp
66.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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