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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

data as of 2026-03-20 16:08 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K−$45K$65K
Holders486+62424
Trades5.3K+6804.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.1%
−4.9 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI0.8%
+1.9 pp
-1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×30.74
+30.04×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×31.14
+30.45×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$19.7K
−$19.8K
$39.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.01
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.5%
−140.3 pp
43.8%
Underwater %94.8%
+94.5 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.2%
−7.0 pp
79.2%
Bot %71.8%
−7.1 pp
79.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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