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Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 30?

data as of 2026-03-30 10:06 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.9K+$3.1K$809
Holders34+1123
Trades172+49123
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−2.2 pp
51.8%
Avg ROI4.2%
+0.7 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.87
−0.01×
×0.89
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−0.32×
×1.19
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$2
−$47
$45
Recent buyer dominance0.49
−0.28
0.78
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL14.6%
+42.2 pp
-27.6%
Underwater %0.1%
−38.7 pp
38.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.1%
+0.1 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.2%
+0.2 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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