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Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 29 above $540?

data as of 2025-12-31 10:16 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$12−$232$244
Holders30+282
Trades66+642
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate15.9%
+15.9 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI346.3%
+346.3 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.95
−0.05×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−0.15×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$0
−$123
$123
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.1%
+17.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %14.0%
+14.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %20.5%
−79.5 pp
100.0%
Bot %32.7%
+32.7 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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