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Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5

data as of 2026-02-10 18:47 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$116−$2.5K$2.7K
Holders19−1433
Trades30−87117
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.9%
−14.1 pp
62.0%
Avg ROI-5.3%
−15.9 pp
10.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.05×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.05×
×0.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
+$9
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
−6.4 pp
6.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−84.0 pp
84.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−5.8 pp
5.8%
Bot %0.0%
−5.8 pp
5.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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