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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3PM ET

data as of 2025-11-21 20:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$7.4K$15K
Holders95−9104
Trades1.3K−1551.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.7%
+19.4 pp
31.2%
Avg ROI10.9%
−4.9 pp
15.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.51
−48.49×
×49.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.51
−39.70×
×40.21
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$448
−$532
$84
Recent buyer dominance0.40
−0.14
0.55
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL97.3%
+194.8 pp
-97.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−91.9 pp
91.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %91.9%
+33.0 pp
58.9%
Bot %29.9%
+1.3 pp
28.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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