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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

data as of 2026-04-02 02:13 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$30K$44K
Holders415+51364
Trades3.8K−683.9K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.3%
−28.9 pp
64.3%
Avg ROI6.4%
+5.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×31.16
+30.50×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×27.66
+26.96×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.0K
−$11.2K
$24.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.05
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.3%
−139.3 pp
43.0%
Underwater %94.3%
+93.8 pp
0.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %77.2%
−5.7 pp
82.8%
Bot %78.4%
−4.7 pp
83.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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