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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

data as of 2026-07-25 22:04 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$14K$12K
Holders418−28446
Trades3.3K−2393.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
+8.9 pp
42.7%
Avg ROI4.8%
−0.8 pp
5.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.70
−23.05×
×23.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.68
−25.92×
×26.60
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.9K
+$11.6K
$11.3K
Recent buyer dominance0.94
−0.04
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL46.2%
+142.5 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−90.1 pp
90.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.4%
+7.8 pp
32.6%
Bot %61.7%
+10.6 pp
51.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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