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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

data as of 2026-05-05 03:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.6K−$11K$20K
Holders397+58339
Trades3.6K+2333.4K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.8%
−5.6 pp
53.4%
Avg ROI1.7%
+1.6 pp
0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.68
+10.96×
×0.72
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.60
+10.89×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.7K
−$9.1K
$16.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.1%
−131.3 pp
40.1%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.2%
−2.9 pp
67.0%
Bot %66.6%
−5.9 pp
72.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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