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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

data as of 2025-12-05 00:15 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K+$9.8K$6.8K
Holders115+7108
Trades1.4K−2411.6K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate60.4%
+19.2 pp
41.2%
Avg ROI1.2%
+1.2 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.77
−20.02×
×20.79
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−17.15×
×17.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.7K
+$5.3K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.73
+0.01
0.71
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL29.9%
+124.7 pp
-94.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−92.2 pp
92.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %74.4%
−7.0 pp
81.4%
Bot %75.3%
−2.0 pp
77.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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