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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

data as of 2026-04-16 15:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.0K−$7.8K$16K
Holders48−1462
Trades1.2K+481.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.9%
−29.6 pp
72.5%
Avg ROI10.9%
+8.6 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.12
−85.57×
×85.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.21
−70.49×
×70.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$785
+$607
$179
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.02
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL354.0%
+452.6 pp
-98.6%
Underwater %1.2%
−98.2 pp
99.4%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %93.5%
+46.5 pp
47.0%
Bot %90.4%
+43.4 pp
47.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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