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XRP Up or Down - December 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

data as of 2025-12-04 23:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$557−$1.5K$2.0K
Holders30−737
Trades183+62121
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate18.0%
−66.0 pp
84.0%
Avg ROI17.4%
+16.1 pp
1.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×6.52
+5.65×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.14
+7.48×
×0.66
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$259
−$924
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.9%
−138.9 pp
51.0%
Underwater %77.3%
+71.6 pp
5.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.0%
+29.3 pp
51.6%
Bot %82.9%
+37.2 pp
45.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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