Markets › detail

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-05-15 19:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$16K+$7.0K$8.9K
Holders150−37187
Trades2.4K+1262.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.0%
+4.4 pp
47.6%
Avg ROI0.8%
−1.2 pp
2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−39.83×
×40.44
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−42.06×
×42.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.4K
+$458
$4.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.02
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL66.4%
+164.0 pp
-97.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.9 pp
97.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.3%
−1.7 pp
78.0%
Bot %83.7%
−0.0 pp
83.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse