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Will the U.S. collect between $1t and $2t in revenue in 2025?

data as of 2025-11-14 10:14 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$848−$165K$166K
Holders236+7229
Trades14K+11K3.4K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate34.4%
−40.4 pp
74.8%
Avg ROI-1.8%
−2.1 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.51
+3.51×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$1.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-76.7%
−77.1 pp
0.4%
Underwater %76.2%
+76.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.2%
−65.2 pp
91.4%
Bot %26.2%
−65.3 pp
91.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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