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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7PM ET

data as of 2026-03-22 23:48 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.3K−$18K$24K
Holders169+29140
Trades1.9K+3921.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.7%
−3.8 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI3.3%
+4.9 pp
-1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×11.80
+11.03×
×0.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×12.08
+11.34×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$313
−$1.5K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.03
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.1%
−125.5 pp
33.4%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.1%
−0.1 pp
73.2%
Bot %69.4%
−0.5 pp
70.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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