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Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

data as of 2025-08-30 23:52 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.8K−$90K$93K
Holders47+2423
Trades453+177276
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.5%
−38.3 pp
74.8%
Avg ROI-7.1%
−6.9 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.69
+14.72×
×0.97
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.84
+10.86×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$304
$304
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.29
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.8%
−94.4 pp
2.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %1.3%
−5.8 pp
7.1%
Bot %1.2%
−5.9 pp
7.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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