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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

data as of 2026-03-21 00:19 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$27K$7.6K
Holders350−9359
Trades3.5K−1853.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.3%
+15.9 pp
39.4%
Avg ROI0.9%
−0.9 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.76
−16.17×
×16.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.79
−16.17×
×16.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.2K
+$19.8K
$7.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.03
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL26.6%
+120.7 pp
-94.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.8 pp
94.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %79.5%
+4.1 pp
75.4%
Bot %79.7%
+2.5 pp
77.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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