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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-15 13:40 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$9.3K$26K
Holders467+55412
Trades4.6K+9253.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
+1.8 pp
51.2%
Avg ROI1.3%
+1.6 pp
-0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−46.61×
×47.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.48
−46.68×
×47.16
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$28.1K
+$3.9K
$24.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL95.8%
+193.6 pp
-97.8%
Underwater %1.6%
−96.9 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %40.4%
+7.1 pp
33.3%
Bot %60.7%
+9.6 pp
51.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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