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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

data as of 2026-07-12 12:11 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.7K−$2.7K$6.4K
Holders92−10102
Trades883−57940
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.3%
−1.2 pp
55.5%
Avg ROI3.5%
−0.8 pp
4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.40
−10.74×
×11.14
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.37
−11.28×
×11.65
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
−$295
$2.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.09
0.86
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL157.7%
+249.2 pp
-91.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %64.0%
−3.0 pp
67.0%
Bot %75.0%
−0.4 pp
75.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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