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Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?

data as of 2026-03-27 23:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.1K+$586$1.5K
Holders64+4519
Trades326+202124
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.8%
+1.1 pp
39.7%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.6 pp
0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×28.63
+27.89×
×0.74
Top-20 avg cost vs price×28.49
+27.71×
×0.77
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
+$2
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-96.4%
−125.5 pp
29.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %14.2%
+13.6 pp
0.5%
Bot %15.4%
+14.9 pp
0.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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