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Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 4?

data as of 2026-04-04 15:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$718−$16K$17K
Holders120−28148
Trades1.4K+677765
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.5%
−48.3 pp
81.8%
Avg ROI19.3%
+17.8 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.96
+24.98×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×38.18
+37.20×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$1.8K
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.56
−0.13
0.69
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.5%
−100.7 pp
3.2%
Underwater %94.7%
+94.4 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.9%
+10.6 pp
5.4%
Bot %16.2%
+10.8 pp
5.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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