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Will Kathryn Bigelow win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?

data as of 2025-11-19 01:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$203−$14K$14K
Holders53−74127
Trades819+265554
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate20.5%
−50.3 pp
70.8%
Avg ROI122.9%
+123.0 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.92
+0.93×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.88
+1.90×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
−$716
$719
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-63.4%
−65.1 pp
1.8%
Underwater %87.2%
+65.0 pp
22.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.8%
−58.0 pp
97.9%
Bot %39.8%
−58.0 pp
97.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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