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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

data as of 2026-03-23 20:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$17K−$26K$44K
Holders418+35383
Trades4.8K+6214.2K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.0%
−10.8 pp
55.8%
Avg ROI1.5%
+0.5 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×15.38
+14.69×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.25
+13.56×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$16.8K
−$14.7K
$31.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.05
0.87
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.1%
−136.3 pp
43.2%
Underwater %98.7%
+98.1 pp
0.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %75.9%
−8.9 pp
84.8%
Bot %74.8%
−9.6 pp
84.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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