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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

data as of 2026-04-09 04:30 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K−$41K$67K
Holders469+16453
Trades5.7K−1575.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.3%
−14.8 pp
71.1%
Avg ROI2.3%
−1.7 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.69
+3.03×
×0.66
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.84
+3.05×
×0.79
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.8K
−$30.8K
$52.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.04
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-73.1%
−113.8 pp
40.7%
Underwater %89.9%
+78.8 pp
11.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.3%
+7.4 pp
62.9%
Bot %70.9%
+17.5 pp
53.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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