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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12PM ET

data as of 2026-07-24 16:48 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.3K−$2.3K$3.6K
Holders61061
Trades407+15392
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.4%
+2.9 pp
53.5%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.2 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×12.99
+12.26×
×0.73
Top-20 avg cost vs price×11.16
+10.42×
×0.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$131
−$1.2K
$1.4K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-91.7%
−129.5 pp
37.8%
Underwater %99.9%
+99.9 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %69.5%
+24.7 pp
44.9%
Bot %73.7%
+7.7 pp
66.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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