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Will the highest temperature in New York City be 19°F or below on January 20?

data as of 2026-01-19 09:25 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$187−$36K$36K
Holders54+153
Trades330+70260
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.7%
−52.4 pp
90.1%
Avg ROI8.7%
+5.9 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.67
+0.67×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.32
+7.34×
×0.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$26
−$2.3K
$2.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.08
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.4%
−89.2 pp
1.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %5.2%
−2.0 pp
7.3%
Bot %3.1%
−4.1 pp
7.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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