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Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?

data as of 2026-05-18 01:25 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.8K+$1.6K$1.2K
Holders146−2148
Trades605+11594
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.7%
−11.0 pp
58.6%
Avg ROI2.0%
+2.6 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.81
−0.82×
×1.64
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−0.75×
×1.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4
+$1
$3
Recent buyer dominance0.54
−0.00
0.55
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.7%
+60.0 pp
-38.3%
Underwater %0.8%
−99.1 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %15.8%
−32.7 pp
48.5%
Bot %14.7%
−33.5 pp
48.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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