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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

data as of 2026-03-15 10:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K+$19K$14K
Holders319−61380
Trades4.4K+1644.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.0%
+8.8 pp
41.2%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−0.5 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.68
−18.92×
×19.60
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.65
−18.58×
×19.23
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$21.8K
+$8.7K
$13.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.03
0.91
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL52.9%
+147.1 pp
-94.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.7 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %83.5%
+6.0 pp
77.5%
Bot %82.6%
+6.7 pp
75.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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