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Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-15 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?

data as of 2026-04-15 16:51 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.0K+$2.0K$86
Holders101+965
Trades104−1105
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate97.6%
+69.0 pp
28.6%
Avg ROI-0.5%
−38.9 pp
38.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.95
−46.81×
×47.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.6K
+$1.6K
$2
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.9%
+102.9 pp
-98.0%
Underwater %17.2%
+10.1 pp
7.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−1.0 pp
1.0%
Bot %0.0%
−1.2 pp
1.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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