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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 04:53 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.0K+$5.8K$3.2K
Holders83−891
Trades993−931.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.4%
+5.7 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI2.6%
−1.8 pp
4.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−3.84×
×4.56
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−3.62×
×4.31
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.3K
+$1.3K
$63
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.03
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL45.7%
+123.3 pp
-77.5%
Underwater %4.9%
−91.3 pp
96.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.7%
+0.0 pp
65.7%
Bot %69.9%
+2.5 pp
67.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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