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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

data as of 2026-05-03 02:35 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$45K+$43K$2.1K
Holders199−106305
Trades1.4K−4621.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate68.9%
+22.7 pp
46.2%
Avg ROI0.8%
−23.8 pp
24.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.86
+0.15×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
+0.17×
×0.70
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.9K
+$10.2K
$1.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.05
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL17.1%
−31.5 pp
48.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−27.8 pp
27.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %63.2%
+18.6 pp
44.6%
Bot %67.2%
+22.0 pp
45.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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