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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

data as of 2026-04-29 22:20 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$6.8K$13K
Holders240−129369
Trades3.5K−5244.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.2%
+11.9 pp
46.3%
Avg ROI7.0%
+5.5 pp
1.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.60
−22.51×
×23.10
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−21.06×
×21.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.3K
+$3.4K
$11.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.86
−0.07
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL56.9%
+151.9 pp
-95.0%
Underwater %2.5%
−93.0 pp
95.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %66.0%
−7.5 pp
73.5%
Bot %67.8%
−5.4 pp
73.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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