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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

data as of 2026-04-20 01:50 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$51K+$31K$20K
Holders440−72512
Trades7.0K+1.3K5.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.0%
+9.0 pp
47.1%
Avg ROI2.7%
+0.2 pp
2.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−18.44×
×19.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.59
−16.99×
×17.58
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.0K
+$7.9K
$19.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.06
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL65.4%
+159.9 pp
-94.5%
Underwater %0.1%
−98.2 pp
98.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.4%
+2.1 pp
68.3%
Bot %73.1%
+14.1 pp
59.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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