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Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?

data as of 2025-08-31 08:10 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$11K−$61K$73K
Holders62+2438
Trades655+136519
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate58.8%
−14.7 pp
73.5%
Avg ROI3.9%
+3.2 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×103.64
+102.76×
×0.88
Top-20 avg cost vs price×96.42
+95.55×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$380
$380
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.12
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-99.2%
−114.4 pp
15.3%
Underwater %98.8%
+98.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.2%
−9.1 pp
17.4%
Bot %4.5%
−12.9 pp
17.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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