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Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $27,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?

data as of 2026-03-01 12:48 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Dec 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
27¢
NO
10¢
YES
27¢
YesY-NNo
Position$153+$139$14
Holders606
Trades17+413
NO
10¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.6%
+2.4 pp
47.2%
Avg ROI83.4%
+81.5 pp
1.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
+$1
$0
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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