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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

data as of 2025-11-16 08:26 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$8.4K+$95$8.3K
Holders117+4572
Trades749+48701
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.3%
−1.6 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI1.3%
+6.3 pp
-5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.67
+16.15×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.02
+13.50×
×0.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
+$61
$1.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.90
+0.25
0.65
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.5%
−173.8 pp
81.3%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %35.8%
−6.0 pp
41.8%
Bot %33.7%
−8.2 pp
41.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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