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XRP Up or Down - July 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 19:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$156−$39$195
Holders24+717
Trades147+10740
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.5%
−20.8 pp
56.4%
Avg ROI39.8%
+37.5 pp
2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.00
+1.19×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×8.61
+7.83×
×0.78
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$153
−$37
$190
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.02
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-88.4%
−117.0 pp
28.6%
Underwater %89.8%
+87.7 pp
2.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %73.9%
+20.8 pp
53.1%
Bot %72.5%
+16.5 pp
56.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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