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Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on April 4?

data as of 2026-04-04 16:20 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$101−$4.2K$4.3K
Holders45−60105
Trades703+312391
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate28.6%
−52.7 pp
81.3%
Avg ROI-11.0%
−10.6 pp
-0.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−0.54×
×1.03
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−0.30×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7
−$208
$215
Recent buyer dominance0.95
−0.00
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL24.0%
+25.0 pp
-1.0%
Underwater %26.4%
−50.1 pp
76.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %37.7%
+24.6 pp
13.0%
Bot %40.8%
+27.8 pp
13.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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