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Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-31 09:33 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$30K+$28K$2.5K
Holders99+4158
Trades716+144572
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate37.3%
−22.1 pp
59.4%
Avg ROI5.0%
−6.2 pp
11.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.33
−4.37×
×4.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.34
−5.52×
×5.86
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$344
+$361
−$17
Recent buyer dominance0.89
+0.74
0.15
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL181.8%
+264.3 pp
-82.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.8 pp
95.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.3%
−15.6 pp
17.9%
Bot %2.3%
−15.3 pp
17.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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