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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 26?

data as of 2025-12-26 06:09 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$125−$34K$34K
Holders27−2855
Trades392+30191
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate23.3%
−66.8 pp
90.1%
Avg ROI38.6%
+38.6 pp
0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.56
−0.46×
×1.02
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.39
+0.38×
×1.01
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$18
−$8.7K
$8.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.03
−0.97
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-28.3%
−27.0 pp
-1.3%
Underwater %49.0%
−43.6 pp
92.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %7.7%
−0.8 pp
8.5%
Bot %7.9%
−1.0 pp
8.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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