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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-10-01 14:51 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$26K+$12K$14K
Holders61−3091
Trades2.1K+3541.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate70.4%
+28.9 pp
41.5%
Avg ROI-0.4%
−13.8 pp
13.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.73
−22.59×
×23.32
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.76
−23.26×
×24.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.1K
+$1.1K
$6
Recent buyer dominance0.66
+0.14
0.52
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL30.7%
+126.4 pp
-95.7%
Underwater %7.3%
−90.3 pp
97.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.3%
+37.2 pp
24.1%
Bot %61.3%
+37.2 pp
24.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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