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Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 47°F or below on January 18?

data as of 2026-01-18 22:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$233−$8.1K$8.4K
Holders52+1042
Trades222+80142
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.2%
−34.4 pp
81.6%
Avg ROI7.8%
−2.9 pp
10.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.77
+1.80×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.57
+3.60×
×0.97
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$58
−$1.4K
$1.5K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
−0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.7%
−83.4 pp
3.8%
Underwater %98.3%
+95.7 pp
2.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.0%
−16.5 pp
19.6%
Bot %2.9%
−16.6 pp
19.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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