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Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?

data as of 2025-12-09 12:12 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$8.9K−$254K$263K
Holders383−138521
Trades9.8K+4.3K5.5K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate40.1%
−45.0 pp
85.1%
Avg ROI13.3%
+7.3 pp
6.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.42
+0.44×
×0.98
Top-20 avg cost vs price×3.00
+2.04×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$229
$230
Recent buyer dominance0.51
−0.49
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-73.3%
−76.0 pp
2.7%
Underwater %54.8%
+11.8 pp
43.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %52.4%
+19.2 pp
33.2%
Bot %59.0%
+24.8 pp
34.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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