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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

data as of 2025-10-25 22:12 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$842−$2.8K$3.7K
Holders50+644
Trades266+24242
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate32.4%
−26.7 pp
59.1%
Avg ROI-11.6%
−14.1 pp
2.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.00
+2.25×
×0.75
Top-20 avg cost vs price×9.05
+8.29×
×0.75
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$180
−$669
$849
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.13
0.84
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-89.9%
−124.6 pp
34.7%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.2%
−18.1 pp
46.2%
Bot %28.5%
−18.0 pp
46.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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