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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

data as of 2026-07-04 05:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$2.0K$18K
Holders426+36390
Trades3.5K+3853.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
+0.8 pp
48.3%
Avg ROI52.2%
+49.3 pp
2.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−23.67×
×24.16
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.49
−21.41×
×21.91
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.1K
−$3.5K
$16.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.89
−0.08
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL99.4%
+194.8 pp
-95.4%
Underwater %0.0%
−96.3 pp
96.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.2%
+8.6 pp
22.6%
Bot %37.4%
+7.3 pp
30.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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