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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

data as of 2026-05-21 15:29 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$10K$12K
Holders367+17350
Trades2.9K−2203.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.2%
+3.4 pp
48.9%
Avg ROI0.2%
−2.0 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.49
−41.10×
×41.59
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.53
−38.00×
×38.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$13.5K
+$1.9K
$11.6K
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.04
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL80.9%
+178.1 pp
-97.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−92.2 pp
92.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %61.8%
+5.9 pp
55.9%
Bot %77.9%
+9.5 pp
68.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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