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Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on December 21?

data as of 2025-12-21 09:04 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$26−$15K$16K
Holders28−1543
Trades140+6971
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.4%
−38.9 pp
81.3%
Avg ROI37.6%
+37.0 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.81
+0.81×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$2.0K
$2.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.75
−0.25
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-45.2%
−45.3 pp
0.1%
Underwater %25.8%
+20.3 pp
5.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.0%
−7.1 pp
9.1%
Bot %2.1%
−7.4 pp
9.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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