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Will United Airlines say "Disruption" during earnings call?

data as of 2026-07-15 21:47 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 16, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
55¢
NO
43¢
YES
55¢
YesY-NNo
Position$103+$100$3
Holders4+31
Trades6+51
NO
43¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.1%
+12.5 pp
36.6%
Avg ROI17.2%
+17.3 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−0.36×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.81
−0.19×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$3
$3
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL23.0%
+23.0 pp
0.0%
Underwater %26.8%
+26.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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