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Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 5?

data as of 2026-05-05 12:49 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$9.7K+$6.2K$3.5K
Holders161−108269
Trades1.9K+6311.3K
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate42.6%
−13.0 pp
55.6%
Avg ROI13.6%
+11.8 pp
1.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.63
−18.37×
×19.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.69
−17.94×
×18.62
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$53
+$52
$1
Recent buyer dominance0.53
−0.02
0.55
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL57.6%
+152.4 pp
-94.9%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.6 pp
99.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %13.5%
−12.4 pp
25.8%
Bot %12.2%
−13.6 pp
25.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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